January 9, 2022, 10:40 a.m., Pacific: No eruption thus far, and seismicity has really slowed down.
The volcanologists have lowered the alert to Yellow, but I’ll leave this pinned for a while and see how things go.
December 23, 2021, 3:05 a.m. Pacific: No, I’m not up right now to watch this — working at night just helps productivity. (So technically I’m goofing off. 🙂 )
Over in Iceland, the latest IMO update (read it all at the link below) notes that, just as with the first eruption this year, the next one is likely to be detected on webcam first (seismic signals are in a powerful repeating pattern).
Alrighty then! Hope one or both of these mbl.is streaming cams catches it, if the eruption happens.
December 22, 2021, 10:45 p.m., Pacific: No activity updates, but IMO’s wording this afternoon shows that an eruption is possible:
The most probable explanation for the seismic activity is that magma has begun to penetrate into the fragile part of the crust. A magma run is underway, which is probably moving along the same magma channel that formed on the eve of the eruption this spring. There is some uncertainty about the scenarios that can occur, but one scenario is that magma can come to the surface fairly quickly. There is considerable uncertainty as to when this could happen and as precisely where, although the magma is most likely to reappear through the same cracks as it has already done before. It is dangerous to be in the area and the Civil Defense has declared a level of uncertainty due to the earthquake.
Remember this? (That’s from earlier this year.)
The eruption near Fagradalsfjall quieted down in September, and I unpinned the post.
At that time, they knew that more magma had come in, but it didn’t appear to be moving upwards.
Today the Icelandic Met Office reports (translation via Google Translate) that 1,400 tremors have occurred there since yesterday, the largest being M4.9.
They note that scientists are meeting right now. Any updates will probably appear on that same page.
Will red glowing lava break through Iceland’s ground again? Stay tuned…
Featured image: Berserkur via Wikimedia, CC BY-SA 4.0.